Ep 128: Melbourne’s Property Market in Winter 2026: What it Means for You Depends on Who You Are

Melbourne’s winter market is softer than usual this year – clearance rates in the early 50s, buyer confidence subdued, and the federal budget’s tax changes still rippling through. But a quiet market doesn’t mean a static one. The dynamics are very different depending on where you sit.

In this episode, Jarrod breaks down what the current market means for five distinct groups – and why the right move for one could be exactly the wrong move for another.

  • Why upgraders are facing the most favourable conditions in years as the gap between selling and buying narrows
  • The case for investment property sellers to hold rather than sell into weakness
  • Where first home buyers are finding genuine value – and why construction costs reinforce the opportunity
  • How regional holiday home markets on both peninsulas have corrected beyond what’s justified
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